We're sorry but this page doesn't work properly without JavaScript enabled. Please enable it to continue.
Feedback

Chronos: Time series forecasting in the age of pretrained models

Formale Metadaten

Titel
Chronos: Time series forecasting in the age of pretrained models
Serientitel
Anzahl der Teile
10
Autor
Lizenz
CC-Namensnennung 3.0 Deutschland:
Sie dürfen das Werk bzw. den Inhalt zu jedem legalen Zweck nutzen, verändern und in unveränderter oder veränderter Form vervielfältigen, verbreiten und öffentlich zugänglich machen, sofern Sie den Namen des Autors/Rechteinhabers in der von ihm festgelegten Weise nennen.
Identifikatoren
Herausgeber
Erscheinungsjahr
Sprache

Inhaltliche Metadaten

Fachgebiet
Genre
Abstract
Time series forecasting is an essential component of decision-making in domains such as energy, retail, and finance. Traditionally, machine learning practitioners have focused on developing task-specific forecasting models that are restricted to a certain dataset or application domain. Inspired by the success of pretrained Large Language Models (LLMs) in natural language processing, it becomes imperative to explore whether a similar approach can be applied to forecasting: Can we train a single large model on huge amounts of diverse time series data, that will generalize to new unseen time series tasks? In this talk, we introduce Chronos, a family of pretrained forecasting models based on minimal modifications to LLM architectures, that accomplishes this goal. Chronos demonstrates remarkable zero-shot performance on unseen datasets, positioning pretrained models as a viable tool to greatly simplify forecasting pipelines. We discuss open challenges in the development and application of pretrained models for time series forecasting, and explore what role AutoML methods can play in overcoming them.