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Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: the role of Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP)

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Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: the role of Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP)
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Abstract
The aims of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP) are to provide a framework for the intercomparison of global and regional-scale risk models within and across multiple sectors and to enable coordinated multi-sectoral assessments of different risks and their aggregated effects. The overarching goal is to use the knowledge gained to support adaptation and mitigation decisions that require regional or global perspectives within the context of facilitating transformations to enable sustainable development, despite inevitable climate shifts and disruptions. ISIMIP uses community-agreed sets of scenarios with standardized climate variables and socio-economic projections as inputs for projecting future risks and associated uncertainties, within and across sectors. The results are consistent multi-model assessments of sectoral risks and opportunities that enable studies that integrate across sectors, providing support for implementation of the Paris Agreement under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change.
NiederspannungsnetzMikroklimaVideotechnik
ModellbauerImpaktGreiffingerTemperaturTemperaturKlimaänderungModellbauerSchreibzeugTargetSchwingungsphaseBlei-209TagesanbruchBlatt <Papier>Proof <Graphische Technik>Dezember
RauschzahlImpaktMikroklimaAdapterModellbauer
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NiederschlagsmengeTropischer WirbelsturmBraunWasserdampfRauschzahlKlangeffektNivelliergerätJuniDürreTemperaturWasserdampfAdapterBrillouin-ZoneDipolEnergieniveauErsatzteilKlimaänderungModellbauerNeutronenaktivierungPatrone <Munition>ImpaktNanotechnologieTagesanbruchChirpProof <Graphische Technik>KlangeffektBesprechung/Interview
Source <Elektronik>RauschzahlModellbauerWerkstattVerbindungsflugzeugBrennpunkt <Optik>Spitzer Space TelescopeZugangsnetzGruppenlaufzeitAnschlussbezeichnungMikroklimaImpaktGreiffingerEndlagerKommunikationssatellitSynthesizerLunkerProzessleittechnikRuhestromKartonSchlauchGruppenlaufzeitModellbauerProzessleittechnikWarmumformenGreiffingerDiagramm
ModellbauerBesprechung/Interview
ModellbauerImpaktGreiffingerWarmumformenAdapterNegativ <Photographie>Besprechung/Interview
Transkript: Englisch(automatisch erzeugt)
I'm Cynthia Rosenzweig, I'm the lead author of a multi-authored paper in Environmental Research Letters on assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks, the role of EZMIB. Last December, in 2015, nations of the world came together, they agreed to hold
back the temperature rise from pre-industrial times to 2 degrees C with an ambitious target of 1.5 degrees C. What EZMIB aims to do, as we now move into the implementation phase
of the Paris Agreement, is to use multi-model, multi-sectoral risk modeling to provide best possible information for the mitigation and adaptation decisions going forward. What kinds of questions can EZMIB help to answer so that decision makers can really
be better informed? Here's some of the questions. How can risks be avoided or lessened by different levels of mitigation? How does adaptation and mitigation impact the resilience of our societies around the world and globally? What about the risk from extreme events that
in many cases are projected to be increasing with floods and droughts increasing already in many parts of the world? And a key question that the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change has posed, what is the actual difference between a 2 degrees temperature rise and
a 1.5 degrees temperature rise in terms of both mitigation activities and adaptation? EZMIB brings together modelers across the impact sectors, water, ecosystems, food,
coastal zones, health, and others. And then it focuses in particular to enable cross-sectoral or inter-sectoral interactions. So here are some of those. For example, changes in river floods from the water system will affect changes in agricultural production because
flooding is very bad for crops. Or for example, sea level rise will cause loss of arable land in agricultural regions near the coast. What EZMIB really is all about is facilitating and enabling the next step, which is to do the interactive sectoral analyses.
How does EZMIB work? At the base, it has modeling teams who know those processes in the sectors. So it's a community of practice of sectoral modeling groups. AGMIB is an example of one of the sector groups that participates in EZMIB.
AGMIB is the Agricultural Model Intercomparison Project, and the agricultural modeling within EZMIB is coordinated by AGMIB. So finally, this information that EZMIB provides
is critical for the mitigation work that has to be undertaken all around the world, the adaptation work that has to be undertaken at the same time, and the overall resilience of our systems. And the goal of EZMIB is to provide the science base
to contribute to the science base for those decisions. For more information, visit www.engvid.com